Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000034
2025-01-05 0.000014 0.000016 0.000019 0.000024 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047
2025-01-12 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000059
2025-01-19 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000047 0.000073
2025-01-26 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000052 0.000089
2025-02-02 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000036 0.000059 0.000110
2025-02-09 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000023 0.000037 0.000064 0.000132
2025-02-16 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000039 0.000072 0.000162
2025-02-23 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000042 0.000082 0.000206
2025-03-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000044 0.000092 0.000260
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000045 0.000099 0.000313
2025-03-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000046 0.000107 0.000375
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000048 0.000119 0.000475
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000050 0.000131 0.000610
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000140 0.000742
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000023 0.000052 0.000150 0.000925
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000053 0.000163 0.001193
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000056 0.000183 0.001671
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000057 0.000199 0.002229
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000059 0.000223 0.003311
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000063 0.000259 0.005677
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000067 0.000296 0.010155
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000024 0.000068 0.000323 0.016758